Conservatives must keep a level head, A no deal Brexit is coming
Theresa May’s deal with the EU is being rejected from all sides. The concept of obtaining a deal was always an attempt by Remainers to keep us shackled to the EU. We must be prepared and level headed, because no deal is coming – late, but its coming.
Theresa May, in all her infinite wisdom, has managed to summon the cabinet and rally their support for her Brexit withdrawal bill. Aside from the ensuing Cabinet resignations, the fact that she has been criticised by all factions of Tory party leadership and membership, that her relationship with the DUP appears to be dead in the water and that essentially the entire opposition has committed to voting it down (shock horror), it’s all going rather well.
But in all of our infinite wisdom, as the conservative thinkers and political savants that we are, we must look at the outcome of this bill with an essence of reserved caution and a level head; a no deal is probably coming.
First and foremost, let’s just reconcile with the notion of a “deal”. We were asked whether we wanted to remain a member of the European Union or if we wanted to LEAVE. A lot of the rhetoric coming from the remain camp specifically was that we could remain and reform – negotiate a better deal. And that’s fine, it’s honest; we don’t want to leave but we acknowledge that the deal we have is a bad one.
Leave, however, means leave. We do not want the EU to be in our lives. We acknowledge that it will be, but reject the concept and the whole project entirely – simple. Negotiating a “deal” is slippery remainer rhetoric, used to justify remaining by proxy – reflected in Theresa May essentially handing the EU a veto over any future UK trade deals – and in doing so, de facto tying us to their jurisdiction whilst at the same time literally telling us she is reclaiming our sovereignty. Brilliant.
In the spirit of this, I would like it to be known that I, personally, reject the notion of a “deal” altogether. We should be negotiating nothing but trade terms – a trade agreement, (as it used to be known back in the glory days of the sovereign nation) not political concessions beyond those of usual trade deal etiquette.
We have been looking at the conditions of the European Union as an organisation and trying to accommodate them. We’ve made political concessions based on the terms we had before the leave vote – trying to appease the disdain felt by the EU that we are leaving. We are capitulating to them – as the media buzzword machine would so eloquently word it – and we are bowing to the whip hand of globalism in all its frightful might.
Fishing waters, trade deal veto, the frictionless Irish border, the concessions made to EU nationals travelling to Britain for work or otherwise (as the reality will be) are all KEY issues of the leave campaign that have been circumvented, avoided or outright ignored. May looks and sounds like a salesman delivering a snake-like pitch, trying with all her might to get the docile and stupid electorate to buy the utter rubbish she is selling.
Except the electorate isn’t stupid, it isn’t ignorant and, most importantly, it isn’t buying any of it.
The whole discourse on Brexit has been (and will continue to be) poisonous. It has been convoluted, warped, misleading and contrived from every single public angle. Brexiteers struggled to get any argument but the economic one across coherently, and allowed the remain camp to commandeer the entire discussion in doing so.
It was reduced to “who will be rich and who will be poor” after Brexit, sold to us with the help of state propaganda, and argued on that basis ad infinitum; the strength and conviction of the leave argument was drowned by the weakness of the Remain campaign.
Coupled with this, we have had a Remain voting Prime Minister with a largely Remain voting cabinet, held together by a small sprinkling of Leave supporters negotiating a deal that they don’t like and don’t believe in.
How ridiculous would it be to have a General Election, elect the Conservative party and then have Jeremy Corbyn lead them? Yet that is exactly what we have done with the pitiful politics of Brexit and that is why we have arrived where we are; political disarray and complete uncertainty.
What I am dubious about are the three options given to us by the Prime minister in her address to the public on the evening of November the 14th; Accept her deal, no deal, or no Brexit.
No Brexit? The one thing she continuously and categorically ruled out since she took the top spot in 2016? Something she is documented saying dozens of times, on camera and script as recently as the 30th October, is something that suddenly finds itself well and truly on the cards?
I somehow don’t quite think so; May has quite surreptitiously, and also quite cleverly got it on record that her deal is the ONLY alternative to the second referendum Labour would bring should a General Election be called. She has rendered her deal the only option by implying an election. She hangs ascension of Corbyn over the heads of the British electorate.
She has completely shifted the failure of her pitiful Brexit negotiations onto the unwillingness of Leave supporters to compromise and to the rebellion she is facing as a result of this deal. She can now go down saying she was swinging, and having the records shine a favourable light of rhetoric on that claim.
Really, though, it means that she knows she won’t have a majority in parliament to pass this bill; Labour, the SNP, the DUP and Conservative dissenters have essentially enshrined that point in fact. Without calling a second referendum (which would be the suicide of the Conservative party) or a snap election (which wouldn’t be far off), we have a Noel Edmunds situation before us: Deal or No Deal?
But with a deal well and truly ruled out, there is only one option left, the option we should have pursued the entire time May and the Remain supporters have been orchestrating this farce; to realise our destiny outside the corrupt and broken European Union and to instigate its downfall as a project.
The British political landscape is on the verge of a colossal shift. Democracy and its merits are on the stand and fighting their case and the British electorate is the Jury. We voted to leave, not to have a second referendum. If Corbyn (someone May has repeatedly besmirched as weak) can remain strong enough to oppose his party calling for his support of a second referendum, and can remain committed, at least on paper, to leaving the European Union, then she doesn’t have much hope of winning a snap election.
So, it looks like we will be faced with a leadership challenge and a no deal scenario. We will leave the European Union on WTO terms, of which we are already committed to outside the European Union, and spend the next few years doing exactly what we should have been doing for the last two years; negotiating trade with the rest of the world.
A no deal will probably come, and to be honest its better late than never.